Week One Highlights
NCAA Football Betting Lines
09/07/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Could the 2010 college football season
gotten off to a better start? It began with some of the nation's top teams
flexing their muscles. There were shootouts, defensive struggles and thrilling
overtime affairs. That was all before the last game on the docket, a premier
showdown between two of the nation's best on Labor Day. If week one is any
indication of how the season is going to shape up, we all are in for a big
treat.
BREAKING THESE BRONCOS WON'T BE EASY: We had to wait until Labor Day to watch
the game of the week, but it was well worth it, as the top-10 showdown between
Boise State and Virginia Tech definitely lived up to the hype. The Broncos
jumped out to an early lead only to watch the Hokies battle back and take
control of the game. Then, as he has done on several occasions during his
career, All-American candidate Kellen Moore came up huge when it counted most,
leading BSU to the decisive score with just over a minute to play in the game.
With the win, the Broncos have certainly gotten past what seems to be the
season's toughest test, and very well could catapult into the BCS Title Game.
FINALLY ARRIVED? Steve Spurrier was supposed to take South Carolina football
to new heights when he took over in Columbia a few seasons ago and 2010 may
just be the year that the former Gator guru delivers. The veteran-laden
Gamecocks completely outclassed a decent Southern Miss team in the opener,
behind a balanced offensive attack that amassed over 200 yards on the ground
and through the air. This week we all will get a better gauge of the Gamecocks,
as they welcome the Georgia Bulldogs to Columbia for SEC action.
FIRST IMPRESSIONS: There was plenty of noise coming from football programs all
over the country this summer and with first impressions now in, here is a run-
down of those that walked the walk after talking the talk. It was only
Marshall, but Ohio State looked awfully good on both sides of the football in
routing the Thundering Herd this past week. Joining the Buckeyes in terms of
good starts include the aforementioned Boise State and South Carolina, along
with defending champion Alabama and Oregon. Michigan had a tough opener against
UConn and a big win (30-10) certainly had to cool the seat that Rich Rodriguez
is sitting on these days. Brian Kelly's debut in South Bend resulted in a
victory. It wasn't pretty at times, but the Irish definitely showed flashes of
potential in their victory over Purdue.
BITTER DISAPPOINTMENT: Now for the teams that failed to deliver in their
season-openers. They may have won the game, but the 2010 Florida Gators looked
sluggish at times in a 34-12 win over Miami-Ohio and certainly lacked the same
intensity that the squads led by Tim Tebow brought to the field. John Brantley
has the toughest job in the country in trying to replace a legend and although
Urban Meyer is a gifted coach and mentor, it will be Brantley that is under
the microscope each and every week. He will definitely have to improve his play
if the Gators want to be a real threat to win the SEC. Another team that failed
to impress in week one was Pittsburgh, which lost to Utah in overtime. North
Carolina came up just short against LSU, but a lot of that had to do with mass
suspensions handed down to the Tar Heels just prior to the game. Finally,
Washington didn't get the job done on the road against a talented BYU program.
Following five wins in Steve Sarkisian's debut season in 2010, the Huskies were
perhaps poised for a big year, especially with Jake Locker back under center.
Locker was good in the opener, just not good enough. Hopefully that isn't a
theme in Seattle this season.
PLAYERS OF THE WEEK: There were several players who got their 2010 campaigns
off to rousing starts. QB standouts included Matt Barkley (USC), who threw for
257 yards and five TDs against Hawaii; Ryan Mallett (Arkansas), who threw for
301 yards and three TDs in a win over Tennessee Tech; T.J. Yates (North
Carolina), who threw for 412 yards and three TDs vs. LSU; Cameron Newton
(Auburn), who passed for 186 yards and three TDs, while rushing for 171 yards
and two scores against Arkansas State, and fellow dual-threats Taylor Martinez
(Nebraska), who passed for 136 yards vs. Western Kentucky, while rushing for
127 and three TDs and Joshua Nesbitt (Georgia Tech), who rushed for 130 yards
and three TDs in a win over South Carolina State.
Tailbacks of choice include Kendall Hunter (Oklahoma State), who rumbled for
257 yards and four TDs against Washington State, Kenjon Barner (Oregon), who
decimated New Mexico with 147 yards rushing and five TDs, and DeMarco Murray
(Oklahoma), who rushed for 218 yards and two TDs against Utah State.
Wideouts who stood out include Kealoha Pilares (Hawaii), who amassed 176 yards
and three TDs against USC, Ryan Broyles (Oklahoma) with 142 yards and two
scores against Utah State, Justin Blackmon (Oklahoma State), 125 yards, three
scores against Washington State and Jheranie Boyd (North Carolina), who had 221
yards and one TD against LSU.
Of course, LSU's All-American CB Patrick Peterson, who amassed 257 return
yards, scoring once on a kickoff and once on a punt return and leading the
Tigers to a hard-fought victory over top-25 foe North Carolina was the special
teams player of the week.
SNEAK PEEK: Week two of the college football season is shaping up to be even
better than week one. There are three top-25 battles on the docket, as the
Miami Hurricanes invade Columbus to put the Ohio State Buckeyes to the test.
Next it is Florida State at Oklahoma and finally a classic duel between Penn State and top-ranked Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Other quality matchups include
Oregon at Tennessee, Michigan at Notre Dame, Georgia at South Carolina and
Auburn at Mississippi State.
<< Rockies hope to stay hot versus Reds
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies have put together a couple of strong
Septembers over the past few years. They've been even more successful in
recent meetings with the Cincinnati Reds at Coors Field.
Colorado shoots for an eighth cons
<< Padres try to string back-to-back wins together against LA
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After finally being able to end a potentially-costly 10-
game skid on Monday, the San Diego Padres will try to start up a winning
streak behind their best pitcher when the National League West leaders resume
a three-game seri
<< Braves seek to bounce back in second test with Pirates
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Atlanta's offense has been mostly shut down during its
current stretch of four losses in five games. That is exactly what starter Tim
Hudson has done to Pittsburgh over the last few years, though.
Hudson looks to extend a
<< Giants eye first place as they continue series in Arizona
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -Runs were hard to come by in Monday's opener of a three-
game series between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, and
another pitcher's duel could be in the works when the two National League West
foes square off
<< Hard-charging Phils continue key series with Marlins
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Phillies have been inconsistent on offense
all year, and it was never more evident than during Monday's doubleheader
versus the Florida Marlins. That still didn't stop the club from pulling
within a half-game
Lohse hoping to pitch Cardinals past Brewers >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Though the St. Louis Cardinals appear to be loaded at the
top of their pitching rotation, the back end could use some work.
Kyle Lohse gets a chance to claim his rotation spot this evening, when St.
Louis tries to gain mor
Rookies to go head-to-head in Mets-Nationals clash >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the Washington Nationals already looking ahead to next
year -- and maybe even 2012 given Stephen Strasburg's need for Tommy John
surgery -- a couple of young players are looking to show the team they can
contribute.
Twins continue set with Royals >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Capturing a second straight American League Central title
may be the Minnesota Twins' main objective, but judging by the team's
performance at Target Field this season, having home-field advantage for the
opening round of the
2010 World Basketball Championship update - September 7th >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
Halftime - Lithuania 43, China 40
Argentina vs. Brazil, 2 p.m.
The Real Deal on the AL Cy Young Race >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With 28 days left in the regular season, the
American League Cy Young award is still up for grabs. It seems the New York
Yankees' CC Sabathia is considered the leading candidate, although I think
there's another
While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
|